Scouting Report
David Krejci holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Krejci on offensive-zone draws (82% H2H, 22 meetings). Nelson wins 47.0% vs right-shot opponents — Krejci shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 48.3% vs Krejci 50.9% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Krejci leads 38-31 in 69 meetings
Offensive zone
Krejci 61.3%
Defensive zone
Nelson 55.8%
Neutral zone
Krejci 51.0%
Result
David Krejci favored at 52.0%
48.0%
52.0%
Nelson
Krejci
Head-to-Head Record
31
-
38
(69 meetings)
31
38
Nelson
Krejci
Last 10: Nelson 2-8 Krejci
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Krejci
4
18
Nelson
Krejci
22 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Krejci
11
12
Nelson
Krejci
23 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nelson
16
8
Nelson
Krejci
24 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Krejci
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (9,695)
50.6% (9,657)
-2.7%
Power Play
54.5% (1,132)
55.3% (1,027)
-0.8%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (783)
48.8% (469)
-5.0%
On penalty kill, Krejci has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krejci shoots right. Nelson is 47.0% vs right-shot opponents (4,075).
Nelson shoots left. Krejci is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,616).
Home / Away
Nelson
Krejci
Home
50.0% (5,845)
53.1% (5,660)
Away
46.5% (5,766)
48.7% (5,517)
By Period
Nelson
Krejci
P1
48.7%
50.7%
P2
48.5%
51.8%
P3
47.7%
50.2%
OT
45.6%
53.0%
Final 5 min
47.8%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
48.3%
Krejci
36.0%▼
43.5%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2023 | 3 | 02:54 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 2 | 08:17 | Neutral | David Krejci |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 1 | 08:11 | Defensive | David Krejci |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 1 | 08:03 | Neutral | David Krejci |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 1 | 00:33 | Defensive | David Krejci |
| Jan 18, 2023 | 2 | 18:37 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| May 10, 2021 | 3 | 06:29 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| May 10, 2021 | 2 | 17:26 | Defensive | David Krejci |
| May 10, 2021 | 2 | 13:44 | Neutral | David Krejci |
| May 10, 2021 | 1 | 06:42 | Defensive | David Krejci |
| Apr 16, 2021 | 2 | 09:45 | Defensive | David Krejci |
| Apr 16, 2021 | 2 | 09:36 | Defensive | David Krejci |
| Apr 16, 2021 | 2 | 09:18 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Apr 16, 2021 | 1 | 11:18 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Apr 15, 2021 | 3 | 01:52 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Apr 15, 2021 | 2 | 01:20 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Apr 15, 2021 | 1 | 02:56 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Apr 15, 2021 | 1 | 00:39 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 3 | 06:03 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 2 | 19:53 | Offensive | David Krejci |