Scouting Report
David Krejci holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Nelson on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Nelson wins 39.8% vs right-shot opponents — Krejci shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 43.7% vs Krejci 51.1% (-8.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Krejci 85.5%
Defensive zone
Krejci 55.3%
Neutral zone
Krejci 76.8%
Result
David Krejci favored at 67.0%
33.0%
67.0%
Nelson
Krejci
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Nelson
Krejci
Last 7: Nelson 6-1 Krejci
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
2
0
Nelson
Krejci
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
3
1
Nelson
Krejci
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nelson
1
0
Nelson
Krejci
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Krejci
Edge
Even Strength
42.1% (385)
50.0% (1,019)
-7.9%
Power Play
47.5% (40)
63.1% (130)
-15.6%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (26)
45.8% (59)
-7.3%
On power play, Krejci has a +15.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krejci shoots right. Nelson is 39.8% vs right-shot opponents (196).
Nelson shoots left. Krejci is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (789).
Home / Away
Nelson
Krejci
Home
43.8% (224)
53.7% (648)
Away
41.0% (227)
48.2% (560)
By Period
Nelson
Krejci
P1
48.1%
50.4%
P2
38.4%
50.6%
P3
39.2%
52.6%
OT
75.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
41.4%
53.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
42.4%
Krejci
36.0%▼
43.5%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2014 | 2 | 05:13 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 27, 2014 | 2 | 05:07 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 27, 2014 | 2 | 01:53 | Defensive | David Krejci |
| Jan 27, 2014 | 1 | 08:42 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 27, 2014 | 1 | 01:08 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 31, 2013 | 3 | 06:42 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 2, 2013 | 2 | 06:15 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |