Scouting Report
David Krejci holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Nelson wins 40.7% vs right-shot opponents — Krejci shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 44.9% vs Krejci 52.7% (-8.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 54.9%
Defensive zone
Nelson 72.3%
Neutral zone
Nelson 62.6%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 64.9%
64.9%
35.1%
Nelson
Krejci
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Nelson
Krejci
Last 5: Nelson 1-4 Krejci
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Krejci
0
1
Nelson
Krejci
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Krejci
0
2
Nelson
Krejci
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Nelson
Krejci
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Krejci
Edge
Even Strength
43.9% (715)
52.2% (534)
-8.3%
Power Play
61.5% (26)
70.0% (30)
-8.5%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (58)
53.3% (30)
-11.9%
On penalty kill, Krejci has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krejci shoots right. Nelson is 40.7% vs right-shot opponents (295).
Nelson shoots left. Krejci is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (418).
Home / Away
Nelson
Krejci
Home
42.9% (406)
58.9% (302)
Away
45.8% (393)
47.3% (292)
By Period
Nelson
Krejci
P1
44.1%
55.6%
P2
47.2%
53.6%
P3
42.2%
51.1%
OT
30.8%
36.4%
Final 5 min
39.9%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
44.3%
Krejci
36.0%▼
43.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Krejci |
| Feb 7, 2015 | 2 | 03:02 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Feb 7, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 7, 2015 | 1 | 17:15 | Defensive | David Krejci |
| Jan 29, 2015 | 2 | 05:34 | Defensive | David Krejci |