Scouting Report
David Krejci holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Krejci on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Nelson wins 46.8% vs right-shot opponents — Krejci shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 49.4% vs Krejci 53.6% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
Krejci leads 11-7 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Nelson 52.4%
Defensive zone
Nelson 60.9%
Neutral zone
Nelson 55.9%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 57.1%
57.1%
42.9%
Nelson
Krejci
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
11
(18 meetings)
7
11
Nelson
Krejci
Last 10: Nelson 4-6 Krejci
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Krejci
0
5
Nelson
Krejci
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Krejci
3
5
Nelson
Krejci
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nelson
4
1
Nelson
Krejci
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Krejci
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (586)
54.0% (546)
-5.5%
Power Play
51.9% (81)
57.1% (42)
-5.2%
Penalty Kill
57.5% (40)
50.0% (4)
+7.5%
On penalty kill, Nelson has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krejci shoots right. Nelson is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (357).
Nelson shoots left. Krejci is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (345).
Home / Away
Nelson
Krejci
Home
55.0% (362)
52.2% (335)
Away
43.5% (345)
56.8% (257)
By Period
Nelson
Krejci
P1
49.3%
55.3%
P2
53.6%
55.2%
P3
46.0%
51.6%
OT
33.3%
60.0%
Final 5 min
48.7%
58.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
49.4%
Krejci
36.0%▼
43.5%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2021 | 3 | 06:29 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| May 10, 2021 | 2 | 17:26 | Defensive | David Krejci |
| May 10, 2021 | 2 | 13:44 | Neutral | David Krejci |
| May 10, 2021 | 1 | 06:42 | Defensive | David Krejci |
| Apr 16, 2021 | 2 | 09:45 | Defensive | David Krejci |
| Apr 16, 2021 | 2 | 09:36 | Defensive | David Krejci |
| Apr 16, 2021 | 2 | 09:18 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Apr 16, 2021 | 1 | 11:18 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Apr 15, 2021 | 3 | 01:52 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Apr 15, 2021 | 2 | 01:20 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Apr 15, 2021 | 1 | 02:56 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Apr 15, 2021 | 1 | 00:39 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 3 | 06:03 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 2 | 19:53 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 1 | 19:53 | Defensive | David Krejci |
| Mar 9, 2021 | 1 | 06:06 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 9, 2021 | 1 | 05:55 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 3 | 11:28 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |