Scouting Report
Frans Nielsen holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall. Nelson wins 46.7% vs left-shot opponents — Nielsen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 44.4% vs Nielsen 53.5% (-10.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nielsen 83.1%
Defensive zone
Nelson 51.0%
Neutral zone
Nielsen 66.7%
Result
Frans Nielsen favored at 69.7%
30.3%
69.7%
Nelson
Nielsen
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Nelson
Nielsen
Last 5: Nelson 3-2 Nielsen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Nelson
Nielsen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
1
0
Nelson
Nielsen
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Nelson
Nielsen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Nielsen
Edge
Even Strength
43.0% (688)
54.2% (906)
-11.2%
Power Play
54.8% (42)
63.2% (152)
-8.4%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (61)
42.3% (156)
+2.0%
On even strength, Nielsen has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nielsen shoots left. Nelson is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (505).
Nelson shoots left. Nielsen is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (742).
Home / Away
Nelson
Nielsen
Home
41.9% (391)
55.3% (608)
Away
45.5% (400)
52.3% (606)
By Period
Nelson
Nielsen
P1
47.1%
54.1%
P2
43.0%
52.6%
P3
40.9%
54.0%
OT
63.6%
65.4%
Final 5 min
43.6%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
43.7%
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2017 | 1 | 18:12 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 3, 2017 | 1 | 11:35 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 3, 2017 | 1 | 09:25 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 3, 2017 | 1 | 09:15 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 3, 2017 | 1 | 03:43 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |