Brock Nelson vs Frederik Gauthier
2018-19 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Frederik Gauthier holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Gauthier on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 47.8% vs Gauthier 53.0% (-6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 80.2%
Defensive zone
Gauthier 55.5%
Neutral zone
Nelson 60.5%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 54.9%
54.9%
45.1%
Nelson
Gauthier
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Nelson
Gauthier
Last 5: Nelson 1-4 Gauthier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
1
0
Nelson
Gauthier
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gauthier
0
3
Nelson
Gauthier
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gauthier
0
1
Nelson
Gauthier
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Gauthier
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (1,020)
53.3% (420)
-5.9%
Power Play
51.5% (163)
50.0% (8)
+1.5%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (63)
63.2% (19)
-20.3%
On penalty kill, Gauthier has a +20.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gauthier shoots left. Nelson is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (821).
Nelson shoots left. Gauthier is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (304).
Home / Away
Nelson
Gauthier
Home
51.0% (641)
54.4% (237)
Away
44.1% (605)
52.9% (210)
By Period
Nelson
Gauthier
P1
48.2%
53.2%
P2
48.1%
57.8%
P3
46.9%
49.6%
Final 5 min
44.6%
53.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
47.7%
Gauthier
40.0%▼
45.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2019 | 1 | 09:35 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Apr 1, 2019 | 1 | 06:34 | Defensive | Frederik Gauthier |
| Feb 28, 2019 | 2 | 13:40 | Neutral | Frederik Gauthier |
| Feb 28, 2019 | 2 | 09:20 | Defensive | Frederik Gauthier |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 1 | 03:53 | Defensive | Frederik Gauthier |