Scouting Report
Greg McKegg holds a +11.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 49.4% vs McKegg 52.6% (-11.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 59.0%
Defensive zone
Nelson 58.6%
Neutral zone
Nelson 54.4%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 57.0%
57.0%
43.0%
Nelson
McKegg
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Nelson
McKegg
Last 5: Nelson 1-4 McKegg
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
1
0
Nelson
McKegg
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McKegg
0
2
Nelson
McKegg
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McKegg
0
2
Nelson
McKegg
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
McKegg
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (586)
60.6% (33)
-12.1%
On even strength, McKegg has a +12.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McKegg shoots left. Nelson is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (350).
Nelson shoots left. McKegg is 65.2% vs left-shot opponents (23).
Home / Away
Nelson
McKegg
Home
55.0% (362)
54.5% (11)
Away
43.5% (345)
63.6% (22)
By Period
Nelson
McKegg
P1
49.3%
66.7%
P2
53.6%
66.7%
P3
46.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
48.7%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
49.4%
McKegg
40.0%▼
48.0%
60.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2021 | 3 | 03:56 | Neutral | Greg McKegg |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 2 | 13:17 | Neutral | Greg McKegg |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 2 | 13:09 | Defensive | Greg McKegg |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 2 | 13:01 | Defensive | Greg McKegg |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 1 | 13:42 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |