Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.1% vs 48.7%). Look for Sedin on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 48.1% vs Sedin 48.7% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Sedin leads 13-8 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Sedin 66.9%
Defensive zone
Nelson 74.0%
Neutral zone
Nelson 53.9%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 52.7%
52.7%
47.3%
Nelson
Sedin
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
13
(21 meetings)
8
13
Nelson
Sedin
Last 10: Nelson 5-5 Sedin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sedin
1
6
Nelson
Sedin
7 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Nelson
Sedin
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
Nelson
Sedin
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Sedin
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (9,510)
47.9% (7,963)
-0.1%
Power Play
54.1% (1,082)
54.6% (1,500)
-0.5%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (728)
39.3% (285)
+4.2%
On penalty kill, Nelson has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sedin shoots left. Nelson is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (7,357).
Nelson shoots left. Sedin is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (6,435).
Home / Away
Nelson
Sedin
Home
49.8% (5,696)
50.4% (5,017)
Away
46.4% (5,625)
46.8% (4,760)
By Period
Nelson
Sedin
P1
48.6%
47.9%
P2
48.4%
50.3%
P3
47.4%
47.4%
OT
46.4%
55.7%
Final 5 min
47.4%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
46.0%▬
46.0%
48.1%
Sedin
50.0%▲
47.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2018 | 3 | 14:18 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 5, 2018 | 3 | 09:09 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 9, 2017 | 3 | 05:24 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 9, 2017 | 2 | 10:10 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 9, 2017 | 2 | 09:44 | Neutral | Henrik Sedin |
| Nov 7, 2016 | 2 | 01:30 | Offensive | Henrik Sedin |
| Nov 7, 2016 | 1 | 01:02 | Defensive | Henrik Sedin |
| Feb 22, 2015 | 3 | 18:02 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 22, 2015 | 3 | 17:56 | Neutral | Henrik Sedin |
| Feb 22, 2015 | 2 | 09:01 | Offensive | Henrik Sedin |
| Feb 22, 2015 | 1 | 19:30 | Offensive | Henrik Sedin |
| Feb 22, 2015 | 1 | 14:42 | Defensive | Henrik Sedin |
| Feb 22, 2015 | 1 | 05:51 | Offensive | Henrik Sedin |
| Feb 22, 2015 | 1 | 02:39 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 22, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Henrik Sedin |
| Jan 6, 2015 | 1 | 18:52 | Offensive | Henrik Sedin |
| Mar 10, 2014 | 3 | 10:53 | Defensive | Henrik Sedin |
| Mar 10, 2014 | 3 | 07:44 | Offensive | Henrik Sedin |
| Mar 10, 2014 | 2 | 16:02 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 10, 2014 | 1 | 00:22 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |