Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (44.3% vs 45.0%). Look for Sedin on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Nelson wins 46.4% vs left-shot opponents — Sedin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 44.9% vs Sedin 45.3% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sedin 67.8%
Defensive zone
Nelson 64.1%
Neutral zone
Nelson 50.3%
Result
Henrik Sedin favored at 56.7%
43.3%
56.7%
Nelson
Sedin
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Nelson
Sedin
Last 9: Nelson 2-7 Sedin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sedin
1
4
Nelson
Sedin
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Nelson
Sedin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sedin
0
2
Nelson
Sedin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Sedin
Edge
Even Strength
43.9% (715)
45.3% (1,216)
-1.4%
Power Play
61.5% (26)
49.0% (257)
+12.5%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (58)
29.3% (92)
+12.1%
On power play, Nelson has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sedin shoots left. Nelson is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (504).
Nelson shoots left. Sedin is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (977).
Home / Away
Nelson
Sedin
Home
42.9% (406)
48.2% (782)
Away
45.8% (393)
41.8% (783)
By Period
Nelson
Sedin
P1
44.1%
43.0%
P2
47.2%
46.4%
P3
42.2%
44.8%
OT
30.8%
60.0%
Final 5 min
39.9%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
44.3%
Sedin
50.0%▲
47.0%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2015 | 3 | 18:02 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 22, 2015 | 3 | 17:56 | Neutral | Henrik Sedin |
| Feb 22, 2015 | 2 | 09:01 | Offensive | Henrik Sedin |
| Feb 22, 2015 | 1 | 19:30 | Offensive | Henrik Sedin |
| Feb 22, 2015 | 1 | 14:42 | Defensive | Henrik Sedin |
| Feb 22, 2015 | 1 | 05:51 | Offensive | Henrik Sedin |
| Feb 22, 2015 | 1 | 02:39 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 22, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Henrik Sedin |
| Jan 6, 2015 | 1 | 18:52 | Offensive | Henrik Sedin |