Brock Nelson vs Justin Williams
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Nelson wins 46.9% vs right-shot opponents — Williams shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 48.1% vs Williams 45.4% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Williams 60.8%
Defensive zone
Nelson 86.0%
Neutral zone
Nelson 70.1%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 65.1%
65.1%
34.9%
Nelson
Williams
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Nelson
Williams
Last 6: Nelson 4-2 Williams
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Nelson
Williams
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
2
0
Nelson
Williams
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Nelson
Williams
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Williams
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (9,510)
41.5% (386)
+6.3%
Power Play
54.1% (1,082)
51.0% (243)
+3.1%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (728)
34.6% (26)
+8.9%
On penalty kill, Nelson has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Williams shoots right. Nelson is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (3,964).
Nelson shoots left. Williams is 42.4% vs left-shot opponents (493).
Home / Away
Nelson
Williams
Home
49.8% (5,696)
46.2% (327)
Away
46.4% (5,625)
43.3% (328)
By Period
Nelson
Williams
P1
48.6%
39.9%
P2
48.4%
46.1%
P3
47.4%
49.0%
OT
46.4%
0.0%
Final 5 min
47.4%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
46.0%▬
46.0%
48.1%
Williams
34.0%▼
37.0%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2018 | 3 | 08:06 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 1 | 09:33 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 18, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Justin Williams |
| Dec 1, 2016 | 3 | 08:50 | Offensive | Justin Williams |
| Feb 18, 2016 | 2 | 07:57 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 7, 2016 | 2 | 18:29 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |