Scouting Report
Mark Letestu holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Letestu on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Nelson wins 47.0% vs right-shot opponents — Letestu shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 48.3% vs Letestu 52.1% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Letestu leads 11-6 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Nelson 67.6%
Defensive zone
Nelson 56.5%
Neutral zone
Nelson 61.6%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 60.2%
60.2%
39.8%
Nelson
Letestu
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
11
(17 meetings)
6
11
Nelson
Letestu
Last 10: Nelson 3-7 Letestu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
2
1
Nelson
Letestu
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Letestu
3
5
Nelson
Letestu
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Letestu
1
5
Nelson
Letestu
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Letestu
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (9,695)
53.3% (4,565)
-5.4%
Power Play
54.5% (1,132)
56.0% (687)
-1.5%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (783)
44.2% (1,005)
-0.4%
On even strength, Letestu has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Letestu shoots right. Nelson is 47.0% vs right-shot opponents (4,075).
Nelson shoots left. Letestu is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (4,419).
Home / Away
Nelson
Letestu
Home
50.0% (5,845)
54.0% (3,024)
Away
46.5% (5,766)
50.4% (3,249)
By Period
Nelson
Letestu
P1
48.7%
51.5%
P2
48.5%
55.0%
P3
47.7%
49.8%
OT
45.6%
51.8%
Final 5 min
47.8%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
48.3%
Letestu
58.0%▲
54.5%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2017 | 3 | 12:47 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 3 | 11:37 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 3 | 04:01 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 2 | 05:56 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Feb 28, 2016 | 3 | 05:16 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Feb 28, 2016 | 1 | 01:15 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Feb 7, 2016 | 2 | 12:28 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 7, 2016 | 2 | 03:35 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 7, 2016 | 1 | 09:40 | Neutral | Mark Letestu |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 3 | 11:11 | Neutral | Mark Letestu |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 2 | 06:20 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 1 | 18:29 | Offensive | Mark Letestu |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 1 | 04:19 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Apr 2, 2015 | 3 | 11:08 | Neutral | Mark Letestu |
| Apr 2, 2015 | 1 | 19:31 | Neutral | Mark Letestu |
| Feb 14, 2015 | 1 | 11:39 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 23, 2014 | 3 | 17:28 | Neutral | Mark Letestu |