Scouting Report
Mark Letestu holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Nelson wins 45.2% vs right-shot opponents — Letestu shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 48.4% vs Letestu 51.2% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 63.2%
Defensive zone
Letestu 62.6%
Neutral zone
Nelson 50.2%
Result
Mark Letestu favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Nelson
Letestu
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Nelson
Letestu
Last 5: Nelson 2-3 Letestu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
1
0
Nelson
Letestu
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Letestu
0
2
Nelson
Letestu
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Nelson
Letestu
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Letestu
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (347)
52.5% (755)
-2.9%
Power Play
20.8% (24)
53.3% (167)
-32.5%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (17)
46.3% (240)
+6.6%
On power play, Letestu has a +32.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Letestu shoots right. Nelson is 45.2% vs right-shot opponents (124).
Nelson shoots left. Letestu is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (808).
Home / Away
Nelson
Letestu
Home
52.9% (210)
54.9% (554)
Away
42.1% (178)
48.0% (608)
By Period
Nelson
Letestu
P1
43.9%
50.7%
P2
48.1%
54.6%
P3
53.1%
48.4%
OT
40.0%
54.5%
Final 5 min
42.7%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
47.9%
Letestu
58.0%▲
54.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2016 | 3 | 05:16 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Feb 28, 2016 | 1 | 01:15 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Feb 7, 2016 | 2 | 12:28 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 7, 2016 | 2 | 03:35 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 7, 2016 | 1 | 09:40 | Neutral | Mark Letestu |