Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Nelson wins 46.4% vs left-shot opponents — Granlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 44.9% vs Granlund 38.9% (+7.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 77.6%
Defensive zone
Nelson 94.6%
Neutral zone
Nelson 89.8%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 87.3%
87.3%
12.7%
Nelson
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
0
(6 meetings)
6
0
Nelson
Granlund
Last 6: Nelson 6-0 Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
2
0
Nelson
Granlund
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
2
0
Nelson
Granlund
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nelson
2
0
Nelson
Granlund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
43.9% (715)
36.5% (477)
+7.4%
Power Play
61.5% (26)
50.0% (20)
+11.5%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (58)
33.3% (27)
+8.1%
On power play, Nelson has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. Nelson is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (504).
Nelson shoots left. Granlund is 35.2% vs left-shot opponents (330).
Home / Away
Nelson
Granlund
Home
42.9% (406)
41.0% (256)
Away
45.8% (393)
32.8% (268)
By Period
Nelson
Granlund
P1
44.1%
41.3%
P2
47.2%
35.9%
P3
42.2%
33.5%
OT
30.8%
0.0%
Final 5 min
39.9%
38.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
44.3%
Granlund
44.0%▼
46.0%
36.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2015 | 2 | 13:54 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 27, 2015 | 1 | 01:34 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 2, 2015 | 2 | 08:51 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 2, 2015 | 2 | 05:02 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 2, 2015 | 1 | 01:34 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 2, 2015 | 1 | 01:21 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |