Brock Nelson vs Michael Cammalleri
2014-15 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Cammalleri on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Nelson wins 46.4% vs left-shot opponents — Cammalleri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 44.9% vs Cammalleri 44.2% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cammalleri 57.8%
Defensive zone
Nelson 64.7%
Neutral zone
Nelson 59.1%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 58.3%
58.3%
41.7%
Nelson
Cammalleri
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Nelson
Cammalleri
Last 7: Nelson 4-3 Cammalleri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
2
0
Nelson
Cammalleri
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cammalleri
2
3
Nelson
Cammalleri
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Cammalleri
Edge
Even Strength
43.9% (715)
40.5% (237)
+3.4%
Power Play
61.5% (26)
69.2% (26)
-7.7%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (58)
26.3% (19)
+15.1%
On penalty kill, Nelson has a +15.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cammalleri shoots left. Nelson is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (504).
Nelson shoots left. Cammalleri is 42.1% vs left-shot opponents (164).
Home / Away
Nelson
Cammalleri
Home
42.9% (406)
41.8% (122)
Away
45.8% (393)
42.5% (160)
By Period
Nelson
Cammalleri
P1
44.1%
50.6%
P2
47.2%
37.8%
P3
42.2%
39.8%
OT
30.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
39.9%
37.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
44.3%
Cammalleri
52.0%▬
52.0%
42.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2015 | 2 | 12:23 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 9, 2015 | 1 | 11:40 | Defensive | Michael Cammalleri |
| Jan 9, 2015 | 1 | 08:27 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 9, 2015 | 1 | 01:08 | Defensive | Michael Cammalleri |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 3 | 08:03 | Defensive | Michael Cammalleri |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 2 | 15:21 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 2 | 02:47 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |