Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Holland on defensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 48.3% vs Holland 45.9% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Nelson leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Nelson 69.0%
Defensive zone
Nelson 54.7%
Neutral zone
Nelson 56.3%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 57.4%
57.4%
42.6%
Nelson
Holland
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
6
(13 meetings)
7
6
Nelson
Holland
Last 10: Nelson 6-4 Holland
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
2
0
Nelson
Holland
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Holland
3
4
Nelson
Holland
7 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Nelson
Holland
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Holland
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (9,695)
45.6% (2,232)
+2.3%
Power Play
54.5% (1,132)
52.4% (126)
+2.1%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (783)
42.3% (137)
+1.5%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Holland shoots left. Nelson is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (7,533).
Nelson shoots left. Holland is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,605).
Home / Away
Nelson
Holland
Home
50.0% (5,845)
48.6% (1,288)
Away
46.5% (5,766)
42.7% (1,207)
By Period
Nelson
Holland
P1
48.7%
46.1%
P2
48.5%
47.3%
P3
47.7%
43.9%
OT
45.6%
39.1%
Final 5 min
47.8%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
48.3%
Holland
38.0%▼
48.0%
45.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2017 | OT | 02:35 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 7, 2017 | 3 | 10:38 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 7, 2017 | 3 | 04:10 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 7, 2017 | 2 | 14:53 | Defensive | Peter Holland |
| Jan 7, 2017 | 2 | 12:06 | Defensive | Peter Holland |
| Jan 7, 2017 | 2 | 09:23 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 9, 2016 | 2 | 16:53 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 9, 2015 | OT | 02:33 | Neutral | Peter Holland |
| Mar 9, 2015 | 3 | 16:34 | Defensive | Peter Holland |
| Mar 9, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 9, 2015 | 1 | 12:43 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 12, 2015 | 3 | 08:00 | Defensive | Peter Holland |
| Feb 12, 2015 | 3 | 04:35 | Neutral | Peter Holland |