Scouting Report
Peter Holland holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Holland on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Nelson wins 46.4% vs left-shot opponents — Holland shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 44.9% vs Holland 46.1% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 56.4%
Defensive zone
Holland 54.1%
Neutral zone
Holland 53.5%
Result
Peter Holland favored at 53.8%
46.2%
53.8%
Nelson
Holland
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Nelson
Holland
Last 6: Nelson 2-4 Holland
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Holland
1
2
Nelson
Holland
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Holland
1
2
Nelson
Holland
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Holland
Edge
Even Strength
43.9% (715)
45.4% (575)
-1.5%
Power Play
61.5% (26)
44.8% (29)
+16.7%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (58)
46.9% (81)
-5.5%
On power play, Nelson has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Holland shoots left. Nelson is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (504).
Nelson shoots left. Holland is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (439).
Home / Away
Nelson
Holland
Home
42.9% (406)
47.2% (373)
Away
45.8% (393)
43.6% (312)
By Period
Nelson
Holland
P1
44.1%
46.8%
P2
47.2%
47.6%
P3
42.2%
42.5%
OT
30.8%
41.7%
Final 5 min
39.9%
42.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
44.3%
Holland
38.0%▼
48.0%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2015 | OT | 02:33 | Neutral | Peter Holland |
| Mar 9, 2015 | 3 | 16:34 | Defensive | Peter Holland |
| Mar 9, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 9, 2015 | 1 | 12:43 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 12, 2015 | 3 | 08:00 | Defensive | Peter Holland |
| Feb 12, 2015 | 3 | 04:35 | Neutral | Peter Holland |