Brock Nelson vs Ryan Kesler

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Ryan Kesler holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Nelson wins 47.0% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Nelson 48.3% vs Kesler 55.9% (-7.7%)
H2H factor Kesler leads 14-4 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone Nelson 80.3%
Defensive zone Nelson 88.2%
Neutral zone Nelson 84.7%
Result Brock Nelson favored at 85.1%
85.1%
14.9%
Nelson Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
4 - 14 (18 meetings)
4
14
Nelson Kesler
Last 10: Nelson 3-7 Kesler

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
1
3
Nelson Kesler
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
1
6
Nelson Kesler
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
2
5
Nelson Kesler
7 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Nelson
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (9,695)
56.4% (8,095)
-8.5%
Power Play
54.5% (1,132)
60.7% (1,437)
-6.2%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (783)
50.5% (1,908)
-6.7%
On even strength, Kesler has a +8.5% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Nelson is 47.0% vs right-shot opponents (4,075).
Nelson shoots left. Kesler is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (7,986).
Home / Away
Nelson
Kesler
Home
50.0% (5,845)
57.2% (5,732)
Away
46.5% (5,766)
54.7% (5,751)
By Period
Nelson
Kesler
P1
48.7%
56.5%
P2
48.5%
55.9%
P3
47.7%
56.1%
OT
45.6%
46.0%
Final 5 min
47.8%
56.9%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%
54.0%
48.3%
Kesler
50.0%
54.5%
56.0%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Oct 17, 2018 1 19:06 Neutral Ryan Kesler
Nov 22, 2016 OT 04:00 Defensive Ryan Kesler
Nov 22, 2016 1 07:31 Defensive Brock Nelson
Oct 16, 2016 3 18:43 Neutral Brock Nelson
Oct 16, 2016 3 14:35 Defensive Ryan Kesler
Oct 16, 2016 3 11:02 Neutral Brock Nelson
Oct 16, 2016 3 00:00 Neutral Ryan Kesler
Oct 16, 2016 2 16:30 Offensive Ryan Kesler
Oct 16, 2016 1 05:26 Defensive Ryan Kesler
Oct 16, 2016 1 04:04 Neutral Ryan Kesler
Dec 21, 2015 2 09:32 Offensive Brock Nelson
Mar 28, 2015 3 08:42 Neutral Ryan Kesler
Nov 5, 2014 3 15:44 Defensive Ryan Kesler
Nov 5, 2014 3 15:35 Neutral Ryan Kesler
Nov 5, 2014 3 02:22 Defensive Ryan Kesler
Nov 5, 2014 2 04:06 Offensive Ryan Kesler
Nov 5, 2014 2 03:15 Defensive Ryan Kesler
Mar 10, 2014 3 15:34 Offensive Ryan Kesler