Scouting Report
Travis Zajac holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Zajac on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 38 meetings). Nelson wins 47.0% vs right-shot opponents — Zajac shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 48.3% vs Zajac 54.2% (-6.0%)
H2H factor
Zajac leads 64-39 in 103 meetings
Offensive zone
Nelson 79.9%
Defensive zone
Nelson 91.0%
Neutral zone
Nelson 88.1%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 86.1%
86.1%
13.9%
Nelson
Zajac
Head-to-Head Record
39
-
64
(103 meetings)
39
64
Nelson
Zajac
Last 10: Nelson 2-8 Zajac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zajac
17
22
Nelson
Zajac
39 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zajac
11
27
Nelson
Zajac
38 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zajac
11
15
Nelson
Zajac
26 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Zajac
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (9,695)
54.4% (9,056)
-6.5%
Power Play
54.5% (1,132)
59.1% (1,498)
-4.6%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (783)
48.6% (1,599)
-4.8%
On even strength, Zajac has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zajac shoots right. Nelson is 47.0% vs right-shot opponents (4,075).
Nelson shoots left. Zajac is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (8,183).
Home / Away
Nelson
Zajac
Home
50.0% (5,845)
55.5% (6,156)
Away
46.5% (5,766)
53.0% (6,038)
By Period
Nelson
Zajac
P1
48.7%
53.8%
P2
48.5%
55.6%
P3
47.7%
53.6%
OT
45.6%
52.3%
Final 5 min
47.8%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
48.3%
Zajac
62.0%▲
52.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2021 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 14, 2021 | 3 | 18:06 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 14, 2021 | 3 | 06:01 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 14, 2021 | 2 | 18:28 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 14, 2021 | 1 | 14:20 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 14, 2021 | 1 | 07:25 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 2 | 12:54 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 2 | 03:16 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 2 | 03:01 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 2 | 00:40 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 2 | 00:24 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 3 | 17:31 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 3 | 06:12 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 2, 2021 | 3 | 11:11 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 2, 2021 | 2 | 17:07 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Jan 21, 2021 | 3 | 07:29 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Jan 21, 2021 | 3 | 00:56 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Jan 21, 2021 | 2 | 12:44 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 21, 2021 | 2 | 12:26 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 7, 2020 | 3 | 17:32 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |