Scouting Report
Travis Zajac holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Zajac on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Nelson wins 53.8% vs right-shot opponents — Zajac shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 51.6% vs Zajac 52.6% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Zajac leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Nelson 70.9%
Defensive zone
Zajac 50.4%
Neutral zone
Nelson 54.8%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 60.6%
60.6%
39.4%
Nelson
Zajac
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
9
(13 meetings)
4
9
Nelson
Zajac
Last 10: Nelson 2-8 Zajac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zajac
2
4
Nelson
Zajac
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zajac
1
3
Nelson
Zajac
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zajac
1
2
Nelson
Zajac
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Zajac
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (902)
53.9% (851)
-3.2%
Power Play
59.8% (169)
49.0% (49)
+10.8%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (116)
48.9% (190)
-0.6%
On power play, Nelson has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zajac shoots right. Nelson is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (455).
Nelson shoots left. Zajac is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (750).
Home / Away
Nelson
Zajac
Home
53.6% (603)
53.3% (533)
Away
49.9% (585)
52.4% (557)
By Period
Nelson
Zajac
P1
55.4%
54.3%
P2
47.2%
51.8%
P3
52.6%
53.2%
OT
51.6%
14.3%
Final 5 min
54.1%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
51.8%
Zajac
62.0%▲
52.5%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2020 | 3 | 17:32 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Jan 7, 2020 | 3 | 07:17 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Jan 7, 2020 | 3 | 07:10 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Jan 7, 2020 | 3 | 06:54 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 7, 2020 | 3 | 03:31 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Jan 7, 2020 | 1 | 06:01 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Jan 2, 2020 | 3 | 17:22 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 2, 2020 | 2 | 18:33 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Jan 2, 2020 | 2 | 18:30 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Jan 2, 2020 | 2 | 15:14 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Jan 2, 2020 | 2 | 03:34 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 2, 2020 | 1 | 05:55 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Jan 2, 2020 | 1 | 05:34 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |