Scouting Report
Travis Zajac holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Zajac on defensive-zone draws (91% H2H, 11 meetings). Nelson wins 46.8% vs right-shot opponents — Zajac shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 49.4% vs Zajac 51.2% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Zajac leads 13-6 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Nelson 70.1%
Defensive zone
Nelson 55.4%
Neutral zone
Nelson 60.1%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 60.6%
60.6%
39.4%
Nelson
Zajac
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
13
(19 meetings)
6
13
Nelson
Zajac
Last 10: Nelson 2-8 Zajac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
4
2
Nelson
Zajac
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zajac
1
10
Nelson
Zajac
11 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Nelson
Zajac
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Zajac
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (586)
53.5% (480)
-5.0%
Power Play
51.9% (81)
48.4% (62)
+3.5%
Penalty Kill
57.5% (40)
37.7% (61)
+19.8%
On penalty kill, Nelson has a +19.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zajac shoots right. Nelson is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (357).
Nelson shoots left. Zajac is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (371).
Home / Away
Nelson
Zajac
Home
55.0% (362)
51.7% (352)
Away
43.5% (345)
51.0% (251)
By Period
Nelson
Zajac
P1
49.3%
45.0%
P2
53.6%
61.5%
P3
46.0%
46.0%
OT
33.3%
57.1%
Final 5 min
48.7%
54.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
49.4%
Zajac
62.0%▲
52.5%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2021 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 14, 2021 | 3 | 18:06 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 14, 2021 | 3 | 06:01 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 14, 2021 | 2 | 18:28 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 14, 2021 | 1 | 14:20 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 14, 2021 | 1 | 07:25 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 2 | 12:54 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 2 | 03:16 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 2 | 03:01 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 2 | 00:40 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 2 | 00:24 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 3 | 17:31 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 3 | 06:12 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 2, 2021 | 3 | 11:11 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 2, 2021 | 2 | 17:07 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Jan 21, 2021 | 3 | 07:29 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Jan 21, 2021 | 3 | 00:56 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Jan 21, 2021 | 2 | 12:44 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 21, 2021 | 2 | 12:26 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |