Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Laich wins 40.6% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Laich 43.1% vs Backlund 47.4% (-6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Laich 64.4%
Defensive zone
Laich 66.5%
Neutral zone
Laich 66.8%
Result
Brooks Laich favored at 64.8%
64.8%
35.2%
Laich
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Laich
Backlund
Last 5: Laich 1-4 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
3
Laich
Backlund
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
1
Laich
Backlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Laich
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
43.4% (166)
48.7% (912)
-5.3%
Power Play
53.8% (13)
46.3% (82)
+7.5%
Penalty Kill
29.7% (64)
38.3% (149)
-8.6%
On penalty kill, Backlund has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Laich is 40.6% vs left-shot opponents (138).
Laich shoots left. Backlund is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (729).
Home / Away
Laich
Backlund
Home
41.0% (139)
48.2% (596)
Away
39.4% (104)
46.1% (547)
By Period
Laich
Backlund
P1
43.4%
49.3%
P2
34.2%
44.7%
P3
43.7%
47.0%
OT
0.0%
72.7%
Final 5 min
37.9%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Laich
48.0%▲
44.5%
40.3%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2016 | 3 | 07:05 | Offensive | Brooks Laich |
| Mar 21, 2016 | 3 | 04:44 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 21, 2016 | 2 | 04:04 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 21, 2016 | 1 | 10:08 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 21, 2016 | 1 | 03:56 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |