Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Laich 47.1% vs O'Reilly 56.0% (-9.0%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 9-6 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Laich 67.1%
Defensive zone
Laich 71.7%
Neutral zone
Laich 70.3%
Result
Brooks Laich favored at 69.1%
69.1%
30.9%
Laich
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
9
(15 meetings)
6
9
Laich
O'Reilly
Last 10: Laich 2-8 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
2
5
Laich
O'Reilly
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Laich
2
1
Laich
O'Reilly
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
2
3
Laich
O'Reilly
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Laich
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (2,075)
56.2% (15,260)
-8.8%
Power Play
53.3% (270)
58.8% (3,445)
-5.5%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (636)
51.4% (2,811)
-8.5%
On even strength, O'Reilly has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Laich is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,889).
Laich shoots left. O'Reilly is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (13,860).
Home / Away
Laich
O'Reilly
Home
49.0% (1,394)
57.6% (10,762)
Away
45.3% (1,615)
54.4% (10,787)
By Period
Laich
O'Reilly
P1
46.6%
55.6%
P2
44.1%
57.0%
P3
50.3%
55.1%
OT
51.6%
62.2%
Final 5 min
42.9%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Laich
48.0%▲
44.5%
47.0%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2016 | 2 | 07:34 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 31, 2016 | 2 | 07:31 | Defensive | Brooks Laich |
| Mar 31, 2016 | 1 | 18:35 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 31, 2016 | 1 | 08:20 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 30, 2015 | 3 | 05:15 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 12, 2015 | 3 | 13:27 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 12, 2015 | 3 | 04:16 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 12, 2015 | 2 | 04:42 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 12, 2015 | 1 | 09:47 | Offensive | Brooks Laich |
| Dec 17, 2011 | 2 | 15:48 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 17, 2011 | 2 | 13:28 | Neutral | Brooks Laich |
| Dec 17, 2011 | 2 | 13:09 | Neutral | Brooks Laich |
| Dec 17, 2011 | 1 | 13:03 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 11, 2010 | 3 | 03:00 | Offensive | Brooks Laich |
| Dec 11, 2010 | 1 | 01:18 | Defensive | Brooks Laich |