Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +16.2% FO% edge overall. Laich wins 40.6% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Laich 43.1% vs O'Reilly 56.2% (-16.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Laich 76.6%
Defensive zone
Laich 77.8%
Neutral zone
Laich 78.3%
Result
Brooks Laich favored at 77.5%
77.5%
22.5%
Laich
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Laich
O'Reilly
Last 5: Laich 1-4 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
2
Laich
O'Reilly
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Laich
1
0
Laich
O'Reilly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
2
Laich
O'Reilly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Laich
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
43.4% (166)
56.9% (1,203)
-13.5%
Power Play
53.8% (13)
60.2% (329)
-6.4%
Penalty Kill
29.7% (64)
50.4% (280)
-20.7%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +20.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Laich is 40.6% vs left-shot opponents (138).
Laich shoots left. O'Reilly is 59.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,111).
Home / Away
Laich
O'Reilly
Home
41.0% (139)
58.6% (879)
Away
39.4% (104)
54.6% (933)
By Period
Laich
O'Reilly
P1
43.4%
55.6%
P2
34.2%
57.9%
P3
43.7%
55.7%
OT
0.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
37.9%
54.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Laich
48.0%▲
44.5%
40.3%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2016 | 2 | 07:34 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 31, 2016 | 2 | 07:31 | Defensive | Brooks Laich |
| Mar 31, 2016 | 1 | 18:35 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 31, 2016 | 1 | 08:20 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 30, 2015 | 3 | 05:15 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |