Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Laich wins 40.0% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Laich 43.1% vs Stamkos 50.0% (-9.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Laich 72.6%
Defensive zone
Laich 73.7%
Neutral zone
Laich 69.1%
Result
Brooks Laich favored at 72.5%
72.5%
27.5%
Laich
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Laich
Stamkos
Last 5: Laich 1-4 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
Laich
Stamkos
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
1
2
Laich
Stamkos
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
Laich
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Laich
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
43.4% (166)
49.9% (771)
-6.5%
Power Play
53.8% (13)
55.4% (74)
-1.6%
Penalty Kill
29.7% (64)
45.1% (82)
-15.4%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +15.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Laich is 40.0% vs right-shot opponents (105).
Laich shoots left. Stamkos is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (653).
Home / Away
Laich
Stamkos
Home
41.0% (139)
50.7% (487)
Away
39.4% (104)
49.1% (440)
By Period
Laich
Stamkos
P1
43.4%
46.1%
P2
34.2%
52.0%
P3
43.7%
51.1%
OT
0.0%
54.5%
Final 5 min
37.9%
55.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Laich
48.0%▲
44.5%
40.3%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2016 | 1 | 14:15 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 15, 2016 | 3 | 17:47 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 15, 2016 | 3 | 17:22 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 15, 2016 | 2 | 04:03 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 29, 2016 | 1 | 16:29 | Defensive | Brooks Laich |