Scouting Report
Zack Smith holds a +11.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Smith on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Laich wins 40.6% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Laich 43.1% vs Smith 51.9% (-11.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Laich 71.6%
Defensive zone
Laich 73.7%
Neutral zone
Laich 66.9%
Result
Brooks Laich favored at 69.5%
69.5%
30.5%
Laich
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Laich
Smith
Last 9: Laich 2-7 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smith
0
2
Laich
Smith
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Laich
Smith
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
1
4
Laich
Smith
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Laich
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
43.4% (166)
53.6% (550)
-10.2%
Power Play
53.8% (13)
53.5% (71)
+0.3%
Penalty Kill
29.7% (64)
43.5% (108)
-13.8%
On penalty kill, Smith has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Laich is 40.6% vs left-shot opponents (138).
Laich shoots left. Smith is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (480).
Home / Away
Laich
Smith
Home
41.0% (139)
56.5% (352)
Away
39.4% (104)
48.0% (377)
By Period
Laich
Smith
P1
43.4%
52.0%
P2
34.2%
51.5%
P3
43.7%
52.2%
OT
0.0%
80.0%
Final 5 min
37.9%
58.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Laich
48.0%▲
44.5%
40.3%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2016 | 3 | 15:15 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Jan 10, 2016 | 3 | 15:05 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Jan 10, 2016 | 3 | 15:02 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Jan 10, 2016 | 3 | 11:40 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Jan 10, 2016 | 3 | 08:28 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Jan 10, 2016 | 3 | 01:53 | Defensive | Brooks Laich |
| Jan 10, 2016 | 2 | 16:19 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Jan 10, 2016 | 1 | 10:58 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Jan 10, 2016 | 1 | 07:04 | Neutral | Brooks Laich |