Scouting Report
Bryan Little holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Shaw on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 15 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 48.2% vs Little 50.6% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Shaw leads 16-10 in 26 meetings
Offensive zone
Shaw 50.1%
Defensive zone
Little 75.1%
Neutral zone
Little 62.3%
Result
Bryan Little favored at 58.6%
41.4%
58.6%
Shaw
Little
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
10
(26 meetings)
16
10
Shaw
Little
Last 10: Shaw 5-5 Little
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Shaw
12
3
Shaw
Little
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Little
1
6
Shaw
Little
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Shaw
3
1
Shaw
Little
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Little
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (3,088)
50.9% (8,646)
-3.0%
Power Play
50.9% (407)
55.5% (1,593)
-4.6%
Penalty Kill
42.1% (57)
43.5% (1,406)
-1.4%
On power play, Little has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Little shoots right. Shaw is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (1,012).
Shaw shoots right. Little is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (3,837).
Home / Away
Shaw
Little
Home
50.3% (1,812)
52.9% (5,664)
Away
45.9% (1,740)
48.6% (6,017)
By Period
Shaw
Little
P1
48.5%
50.9%
P2
47.9%
49.6%
P3
48.2%
51.5%
OT
41.9%
49.1%
Final 5 min
46.2%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
52.0%▲
48.5%
48.1%
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2017 | 2 | 05:42 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Dec 6, 2015 | 3 | 19:07 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Dec 6, 2015 | 3 | 18:14 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Dec 6, 2015 | 3 | 16:11 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Oct 29, 2015 | 3 | 17:06 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Oct 29, 2015 | 1 | 13:30 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Jan 16, 2015 | 3 | 04:49 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Dec 23, 2014 | 3 | 05:07 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Dec 23, 2014 | 2 | 13:12 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Dec 23, 2014 | 2 | 10:07 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Dec 23, 2014 | 2 | 03:29 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Dec 23, 2014 | 1 | 09:21 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Dec 23, 2014 | 1 | 09:16 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Dec 23, 2014 | 1 | 03:16 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Nov 2, 2014 | 3 | 12:37 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Nov 2, 2014 | 2 | 19:09 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Nov 2, 2014 | 2 | 04:06 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Nov 2, 2014 | 2 | 03:46 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Jan 26, 2014 | 3 | 19:47 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Jan 26, 2014 | 3 | 17:56 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |