Scouting Report
Bryan Little holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Little on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Coleman wins 37.6% vs right-shot opponents — Little shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coleman 43.9% vs Little 52.3% (-10.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Little 64.0%
Defensive zone
Coleman 79.2%
Neutral zone
Coleman 62.2%
Result
Blake Coleman favored at 62.0%
62.0%
38.0%
Coleman
Little
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Coleman
Little
Last 6: Coleman 2-4 Little
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Coleman
Little
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Little
1
2
Coleman
Little
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Little
0
1
Coleman
Little
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coleman
Little
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (145)
53.0% (796)
-7.5%
Power Play
33.3% (9)
56.0% (116)
-22.7%
Penalty Kill
37.0% (108)
43.3% (90)
-6.3%
On power play, Little has a +22.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Little shoots right. Coleman is 37.6% vs right-shot opponents (125).
Coleman shoots left. Little is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (676).
Home / Away
Coleman
Little
Home
49.6% (129)
53.6% (491)
Away
33.8% (133)
51.5% (511)
By Period
Coleman
Little
P1
39.5%
55.4%
P2
40.2%
50.6%
P3
45.6%
52.1%
Final 5 min
39.6%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coleman
32.0%▼
45.5%
41.6%
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2018 | 3 | 14:39 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Nov 11, 2018 | 3 | 04:54 | Offensive | Blake Coleman |
| Nov 11, 2018 | 3 | 00:32 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Nov 11, 2018 | 2 | 17:33 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Nov 11, 2018 | 2 | 17:27 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Nov 11, 2018 | 2 | 05:34 | Defensive | Blake Coleman |