Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.3% vs 49.1%). Look for Jenner on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Jenner wins 56.0% vs right-shot opponents — Little shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 49.5% vs Little 49.2% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jenner 57.1%
Defensive zone
Jenner 51.3%
Neutral zone
Jenner 55.4%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 55.8%
55.8%
44.2%
Jenner
Little
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Jenner
Little
Last 6: Jenner 4-2 Little
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
3
1
Jenner
Little
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
1
0
Jenner
Little
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Little
0
1
Jenner
Little
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Little
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (234)
49.5% (1,128)
-0.4%
Power Play
51.2% (43)
55.1% (216)
-3.9%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (29)
41.1% (207)
+7.2%
On penalty kill, Jenner has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Little shoots right. Jenner is 56.0% vs right-shot opponents (125).
Jenner shoots left. Little is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,032).
Home / Away
Jenner
Little
Home
55.8% (138)
54.1% (756)
Away
44.0% (168)
44.4% (795)
By Period
Jenner
Little
P1
53.8%
49.5%
P2
47.2%
50.2%
P3
48.0%
48.1%
OT
44.4%
44.7%
Final 5 min
51.9%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
49.3%
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2014 | 3 | 01:14 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Nov 25, 2014 | 2 | 18:28 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 25, 2014 | 2 | 16:25 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Nov 25, 2014 | 2 | 13:27 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 25, 2014 | 1 | 16:39 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 25, 2014 | 1 | 12:16 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |