Scouting Report
Brandon Dubinsky holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Little on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Dubinsky wins 54.3% vs right-shot opponents — Little shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dubinsky 52.7% vs Little 47.6% (+5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Little 75.4%
Defensive zone
Little 72.9%
Neutral zone
Little 76.4%
Result
Bryan Little favored at 75.5%
24.5%
75.5%
Dubinsky
Little
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Dubinsky
Little
Last 5: Dubinsky 1-4 Little
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Little
0
1
Dubinsky
Little
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Little
0
1
Dubinsky
Little
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Little
1
2
Dubinsky
Little
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dubinsky
Little
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (831)
47.1% (1,168)
+7.1%
Power Play
54.3% (138)
52.6% (215)
+1.7%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (138)
45.2% (270)
-1.0%
On even strength, Dubinsky has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Little shoots right. Dubinsky is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (427).
Dubinsky shoots left. Little is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,177).
Home / Away
Dubinsky
Little
Home
53.1% (608)
49.6% (829)
Away
52.7% (499)
45.4% (824)
By Period
Dubinsky
Little
P1
53.5%
48.3%
P2
54.4%
44.5%
P3
50.5%
48.7%
OT
64.3%
56.1%
Final 5 min
49.8%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dubinsky
66.0%▲
59.0%
52.9%
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2014 | 2 | 15:24 | Neutral | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Jan 11, 2014 | 1 | 11:22 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Dec 16, 2013 | 3 | 15:01 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Dec 16, 2013 | 1 | 18:32 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Dec 16, 2013 | 1 | 11:40 | Neutral | Bryan Little |