Scouting Report
Bryan Little holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Little 47.6% vs Coyle 43.4% (+5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coyle 71.4%
Defensive zone
Little 67.1%
Neutral zone
Coyle 55.4%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 53.5%
46.5%
53.5%
Little
Coyle
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Little
Coyle
Last 7: Little 3-4 Coyle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
0
2
Little
Coyle
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Little
2
0
Little
Coyle
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
2
Little
Coyle
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Little
Coyle
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (1,168)
41.4% (384)
+5.7%
Power Play
52.6% (215)
45.5% (66)
+7.1%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (270)
37.5% (8)
+7.7%
On penalty kill, Little has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Coyle shoots right. Little is 47.3% vs right-shot opponents (476).
Little shoots right. Coyle is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (161).
Home / Away
Little
Coyle
Home
49.6% (829)
46.4% (211)
Away
45.4% (824)
38.1% (247)
By Period
Little
Coyle
P1
48.3%
46.2%
P2
44.5%
39.5%
P3
48.7%
37.0%
OT
56.1%
73.3%
Final 5 min
45.4%
38.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
47.5%
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
41.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2013 | 3 | 00:28 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 23, 2013 | 2 | 14:50 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 23, 2013 | 2 | 05:15 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Nov 23, 2013 | 2 | 01:25 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 23, 2013 | 1 | 18:27 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 23, 2013 | 1 | 11:33 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Nov 23, 2013 | 1 | 09:16 | Defensive | Bryan Little |