Scouting Report
Bryan Little holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Little on offensive-zone draws (69% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Little 50.6% vs Tierney 49.1% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Little leads 14-13 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Little 64.8%
Defensive zone
Tierney 64.5%
Neutral zone
Tierney 50.7%
Result
Bryan Little favored at 54.2%
54.2%
45.8%
Little
Tierney
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
13
(27 meetings)
14
13
Little
Tierney
Last 10: Little 6-4 Tierney
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Little
9
4
Little
Tierney
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
2
3
Little
Tierney
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tierney
3
6
Little
Tierney
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Little
Tierney
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (8,646)
49.3% (5,342)
+1.6%
Power Play
55.5% (1,593)
52.3% (342)
+3.2%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (1,406)
46.6% (857)
-3.1%
On power play, Little has a +3.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tierney shoots left. Little is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (7,844).
Little shoots right. Tierney is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,404).
Home / Away
Little
Tierney
Home
52.9% (5,664)
50.6% (3,270)
Away
48.6% (6,017)
47.7% (3,271)
By Period
Little
Tierney
P1
50.9%
49.3%
P2
49.6%
47.7%
P3
51.5%
50.5%
OT
49.1%
47.4%
Final 5 min
51.1%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.7%
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2019 | OT | 00:54 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 2 | 09:50 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Jan 23, 2018 | 2 | 13:25 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Jan 23, 2018 | 2 | 05:57 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Jan 23, 2018 | 1 | 15:20 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Jan 23, 2018 | 1 | 12:22 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Jan 7, 2018 | 3 | 02:19 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Jan 7, 2018 | 2 | 10:01 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Jan 7, 2018 | 1 | 08:31 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Jan 7, 2018 | 1 | 05:33 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Jan 7, 2018 | 1 | 02:51 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Nov 25, 2017 | 3 | 10:49 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Nov 25, 2017 | 3 | 07:14 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Nov 25, 2017 | 3 | 07:08 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Nov 25, 2017 | 2 | 13:13 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Nov 25, 2017 | 2 | 09:56 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Nov 25, 2017 | 1 | 11:30 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 6, 2017 | 3 | 19:53 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 6, 2017 | 3 | 11:07 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Mar 6, 2017 | 3 | 08:49 | Offensive | Bryan Little |