Scouting Report
Bryan Little holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Little on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Little wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Tierney shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Little 55.1% vs Tierney 48.7% (+7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tierney 52.1%
Defensive zone
Tierney 62.9%
Neutral zone
Tierney 58.1%
Result
Chris Tierney favored at 55.9%
44.1%
55.9%
Little
Tierney
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Little
Tierney
Last 6: Little 2-4 Tierney
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Little
2
1
Little
Tierney
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
0
1
Little
Tierney
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tierney
0
2
Little
Tierney
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Little
Tierney
Edge
Even Strength
57.3% (847)
49.2% (675)
+8.1%
Power Play
57.5% (160)
57.1% (21)
+0.4%
Penalty Kill
36.7% (90)
43.8% (130)
-7.1%
On even strength, Little has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tierney shoots left. Little is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (776).
Little shoots right. Tierney is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (320).
Home / Away
Little
Tierney
Home
56.7% (575)
50.7% (420)
Away
54.4% (522)
46.3% (406)
By Period
Little
Tierney
P1
55.4%
45.2%
P2
53.9%
50.0%
P3
57.6%
50.8%
Final 5 min
56.9%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
55.6%
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2017 | 3 | 19:53 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 6, 2017 | 3 | 11:07 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Mar 6, 2017 | 3 | 08:49 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Mar 6, 2017 | 1 | 08:32 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Jan 24, 2017 | 2 | 14:02 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Jan 16, 2017 | 1 | 03:56 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |