Scouting Report
Bryan Little holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Wagner on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Little 50.6% vs Wagner 49.0% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Wagner leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Little 68.5%
Defensive zone
Wagner 77.9%
Neutral zone
Wagner 57.5%
Result
Chris Wagner favored at 50.6%
49.4%
50.6%
Little
Wagner
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
7
(13 meetings)
6
7
Little
Wagner
Last 10: Little 5-5 Wagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wagner
2
3
Little
Wagner
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Little
Wagner
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Little
Wagner
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Little
Wagner
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (8,646)
50.8% (1,243)
+0.1%
Power Play
55.5% (1,593)
40.0% (20)
+15.5%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (1,406)
42.0% (307)
+1.5%
On power play, Little has a +15.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wagner shoots right. Little is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (3,837).
Little shoots right. Wagner is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (408).
Home / Away
Little
Wagner
Home
52.9% (5,664)
49.8% (817)
Away
48.6% (6,017)
47.9% (753)
By Period
Little
Wagner
P1
50.9%
48.6%
P2
49.6%
48.6%
P3
51.5%
49.5%
OT
49.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.1%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.7%
Wagner
40.0%▼
49.5%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2017 | 2 | 11:45 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Nov 24, 2017 | 2 | 10:13 | Defensive | Chris Wagner |
| Nov 24, 2017 | 2 | 07:14 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Nov 24, 2017 | 1 | 15:03 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Nov 24, 2017 | 1 | 13:17 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Nov 24, 2017 | 1 | 07:36 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Mar 30, 2017 | 2 | 07:10 | Neutral | Chris Wagner |
| Mar 30, 2017 | 2 | 07:01 | Neutral | Chris Wagner |
| Mar 30, 2017 | 1 | 19:24 | Offensive | Chris Wagner |
| Mar 30, 2017 | 1 | 19:21 | Offensive | Chris Wagner |
| Feb 6, 2016 | 2 | 12:45 | Neutral | Chris Wagner |
| Jan 18, 2016 | 3 | 09:25 | Offensive | Chris Wagner |
| Nov 28, 2015 | 3 | 14:00 | Offensive | Bryan Little |