Scouting Report
Bryan Little holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Little on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Little wins 55.7% vs right-shot opponents — Wagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Little 55.6% vs Wagner 49.1% (+7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Little 93.8%
Defensive zone
Little 73.8%
Neutral zone
Little 80.1%
Result
Bryan Little favored at 80.3%
80.3%
19.7%
Little
Wagner
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Little
Wagner
Last 6: Little 5-1 Wagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Little
1
0
Little
Wagner
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Little
Wagner
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Little
3
0
Little
Wagner
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Little
Wagner
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (1,026)
51.5% (332)
+4.4%
Power Play
60.1% (158)
55.6% (9)
+4.5%
Penalty Kill
51.6% (122)
41.9% (129)
+9.7%
On penalty kill, Little has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wagner shoots right. Little is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (456).
Little shoots right. Wagner is 39.7% vs right-shot opponents (136).
Home / Away
Little
Wagner
Home
58.6% (613)
49.8% (233)
Away
53.8% (693)
48.1% (237)
By Period
Little
Wagner
P1
54.4%
45.9%
P2
57.5%
47.8%
P3
56.6%
52.7%
OT
47.6%
42.9%
Final 5 min
55.4%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
56.0%
Wagner
40.0%▼
49.5%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2017 | 2 | 11:45 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Nov 24, 2017 | 2 | 10:13 | Defensive | Chris Wagner |
| Nov 24, 2017 | 2 | 07:14 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Nov 24, 2017 | 1 | 15:03 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Nov 24, 2017 | 1 | 13:17 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Nov 24, 2017 | 1 | 07:36 | Neutral | Bryan Little |