Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.7% vs 50.7%). Look for Backes on neutral-zone draws (63% H2H, 30 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Little 50.6% vs Backes 50.7% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Backes leads 51-46 in 97 meetings
Offensive zone
Little 55.1%
Defensive zone
Backes 52.6%
Neutral zone
Little 50.3%
Result
Bryan Little favored at 51.0%
51.0%
49.0%
Little
Backes
Head-to-Head Record
46
-
51
(97 meetings)
46
51
Little
Backes
Last 10: Little 3-7 Backes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
17
17
Little
Backes
34 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Little
18
15
Little
Backes
33 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backes
11
19
Little
Backes
30 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Little
Backes
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (8,646)
51.1% (5,772)
-0.2%
Power Play
55.5% (1,593)
50.8% (1,082)
+4.7%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (1,406)
47.4% (930)
-3.9%
On power play, Little has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backes shoots right. Little is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (3,837).
Little shoots right. Backes is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,127).
Home / Away
Little
Backes
Home
52.9% (5,664)
50.6% (3,936)
Away
48.6% (6,017)
50.7% (3,895)
By Period
Little
Backes
P1
50.9%
50.1%
P2
49.6%
51.5%
P3
51.5%
50.8%
OT
49.1%
42.9%
Final 5 min
51.1%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.7%
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2019 | 2 | 02:27 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Dec 21, 2017 | 3 | 04:26 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Dec 21, 2017 | 3 | 01:18 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Dec 21, 2017 | 1 | 12:24 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Dec 21, 2017 | 1 | 11:57 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Dec 21, 2017 | 1 | 04:48 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Feb 9, 2016 | 3 | 18:13 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Feb 9, 2016 | 3 | 05:02 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Feb 9, 2016 | 2 | 07:08 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Feb 9, 2016 | 1 | 15:07 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Dec 15, 2015 | 3 | 19:27 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Dec 15, 2015 | 3 | 16:31 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Dec 15, 2015 | 3 | 16:22 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Dec 15, 2015 | 3 | 04:37 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Dec 15, 2015 | 3 | 04:04 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Dec 15, 2015 | 2 | 18:03 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Nov 16, 2015 | 3 | 18:59 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Nov 16, 2015 | 3 | 16:18 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Nov 16, 2015 | 3 | 16:11 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Nov 16, 2015 | 3 | 11:39 | Neutral | Bryan Little |