Scouting Report
Bryan Little holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Little wins 55.7% vs right-shot opponents — Backes shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Little 55.6% vs Backes 51.2% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backes 58.6%
Defensive zone
Backes 56.3%
Neutral zone
Backes 61.4%
Result
David Backes favored at 58.2%
41.8%
58.2%
Little
Backes
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Little
Backes
Last 5: Little 1-4 Backes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backes
0
2
Little
Backes
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Little
Backes
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backes
0
1
Little
Backes
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Little
Backes
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (1,026)
52.0% (179)
+3.9%
Power Play
60.1% (158)
55.8% (52)
+4.3%
Penalty Kill
51.6% (122)
27.3% (11)
+24.3%
On penalty kill, Little has a +24.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backes shoots right. Little is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (456).
Little shoots right. Backes is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (69).
Home / Away
Little
Backes
Home
58.6% (613)
53.8% (160)
Away
53.8% (693)
47.6% (82)
By Period
Little
Backes
P1
54.4%
53.8%
P2
57.5%
58.0%
P3
56.6%
41.4%
Final 5 min
55.4%
52.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
56.0%
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2017 | 3 | 04:26 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Dec 21, 2017 | 3 | 01:18 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Dec 21, 2017 | 1 | 12:24 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Dec 21, 2017 | 1 | 11:57 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Dec 21, 2017 | 1 | 04:48 | Offensive | David Backes |