Scouting Report
David Desharnais holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Little on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Little 49.2% vs Desharnais 52.7% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Desharnais 88.1%
Defensive zone
Little 50.4%
Neutral zone
Desharnais 64.7%
Result
David Desharnais favored at 63.5%
36.5%
63.5%
Little
Desharnais
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Little
Desharnais
Last 6: Little 4-2 Desharnais
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Desharnais
0
1
Little
Desharnais
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Little
2
0
Little
Desharnais
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Little
2
1
Little
Desharnais
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Little
Desharnais
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (1,128)
51.4% (994)
-1.9%
Power Play
55.1% (216)
61.5% (187)
-6.4%
Penalty Kill
41.1% (207)
37.5% (8)
+3.6%
On power play, Desharnais has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Desharnais shoots left. Little is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,032).
Little shoots right. Desharnais is 54.8% vs right-shot opponents (484).
Home / Away
Little
Desharnais
Home
54.1% (756)
53.8% (610)
Away
44.4% (795)
52.0% (579)
By Period
Little
Desharnais
P1
49.5%
49.7%
P2
50.2%
57.7%
P3
48.1%
49.9%
OT
44.7%
66.7%
Final 5 min
50.5%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
49.1%
Desharnais
56.0%▲
54.5%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2014 | 3 | 14:00 | Offensive | David Desharnais |
| Nov 11, 2014 | 2 | 19:51 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Nov 11, 2014 | 2 | 06:47 | Neutral | David Desharnais |
| Nov 11, 2014 | 2 | 01:11 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Nov 11, 2014 | 1 | 09:13 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Nov 11, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bryan Little |