Scouting Report
Bryan Little holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Little on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 34 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Little 50.6% vs Nielsen 48.5% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Little leads 57-52 in 109 meetings
Offensive zone
Little 64.1%
Defensive zone
Nielsen 54.8%
Neutral zone
Little 52.9%
Result
Bryan Little favored at 54.3%
54.3%
45.7%
Little
Nielsen
Head-to-Head Record
57
-
52
(109 meetings)
57
52
Little
Nielsen
Last 10: Little 5-5 Nielsen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Little
24
10
Little
Nielsen
34 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
10
20
Little
Nielsen
30 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Little
23
22
Little
Nielsen
45 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Little
Nielsen
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (8,646)
49.3% (7,608)
+1.6%
Power Play
55.5% (1,593)
54.7% (594)
+0.8%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (1,406)
41.7% (1,420)
+1.8%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nielsen shoots left. Little is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (7,844).
Little shoots right. Nielsen is 47.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,660).
Home / Away
Little
Nielsen
Home
52.9% (5,664)
49.9% (4,766)
Away
48.6% (6,017)
47.1% (4,890)
By Period
Little
Nielsen
P1
50.9%
49.7%
P2
49.6%
47.6%
P3
51.5%
48.2%
OT
49.1%
46.6%
Final 5 min
51.1%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.7%
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2019 | 3 | 04:34 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Jan 11, 2019 | 3 | 04:22 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Jan 11, 2019 | 2 | 04:51 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Jan 11, 2019 | 1 | 00:50 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Oct 26, 2018 | 3 | 14:14 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Oct 26, 2018 | 2 | 05:33 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 26, 2018 | 1 | 19:24 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Oct 26, 2018 | 1 | 10:01 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Oct 26, 2018 | 1 | 00:36 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 2, 2018 | 3 | 04:31 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 2, 2018 | 2 | 14:46 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Mar 2, 2018 | 2 | 14:39 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 2, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Mar 2, 2018 | 1 | 13:24 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Mar 2, 2018 | 1 | 06:01 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 2, 2018 | 1 | 00:06 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Mar 2, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Dec 5, 2017 | 3 | 07:25 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Dec 6, 2016 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Dec 6, 2016 | 3 | 13:27 | Offensive | Bryan Little |