Scouting Report
Bryan Little holds a +11.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Rose on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Little wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Rose shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Little 55.6% vs Rose 45.1% (+11.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rose 65.9%
Defensive zone
Rose 63.0%
Neutral zone
Rose 69.9%
Result
Jacob de la Rose favored at 66.8%
33.2%
66.8%
Little
Rose
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Little
Rose
Last 8: Little 2-6 Rose
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rose
0
1
Little
Rose
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Little
2
1
Little
Rose
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rose
0
4
Little
Rose
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Little
Rose
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (1,026)
45.4% (423)
+10.5%
Power Play
60.1% (158)
33.3% (3)
+26.8%
Penalty Kill
51.6% (122)
31.7% (41)
+19.9%
On power play, Little has a +26.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rose shoots left. Little is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (850).
Little shoots right. Rose is 38.8% vs right-shot opponents (160).
Home / Away
Little
Rose
Home
58.6% (613)
46.7% (227)
Away
53.8% (693)
41.7% (240)
By Period
Little
Rose
P1
54.4%
47.5%
P2
57.5%
42.9%
P3
56.6%
41.1%
Final 5 min
55.4%
41.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
56.0%
Rose
48.0%▲
44.5%
44.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2018 | 3 | 18:18 | Neutral | Jacob de la Rose |
| Apr 3, 2018 | 3 | 14:25 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Apr 3, 2018 | 3 | 10:39 | Neutral | Jacob de la Rose |
| Apr 3, 2018 | 3 | 02:42 | Defensive | Jacob de la Rose |
| Apr 3, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jacob de la Rose |
| Apr 3, 2018 | 2 | 09:09 | Offensive | Jacob de la Rose |
| Apr 3, 2018 | 2 | 02:43 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Apr 3, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jacob de la Rose |