Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Beagle on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Little wins 57.1% vs right-shot opponents — Beagle shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Little 51.1% vs Beagle 55.0% (-4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Little 57.8%
Defensive zone
Beagle 80.6%
Neutral zone
Beagle 55.2%
Result
Jay Beagle favored at 65.3%
34.7%
65.3%
Little
Beagle
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Little
Beagle
Last 5: Little 3-2 Beagle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Little
2
0
Little
Beagle
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
1
2
Little
Beagle
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Little
Beagle
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (628)
55.7% (318)
-4.6%
Power Play
52.5% (118)
45.5% (11)
+7.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (96)
58.3% (115)
-8.3%
On penalty kill, Beagle has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beagle shoots right. Little is 57.1% vs right-shot opponents (319).
Little shoots right. Beagle is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (131).
Home / Away
Little
Beagle
Home
51.4% (420)
58.0% (226)
Away
50.9% (422)
54.1% (218)
By Period
Little
Beagle
P1
50.4%
54.7%
P2
49.3%
57.7%
P3
53.8%
56.1%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
53.1%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
51.2%
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2013 | 1 | 05:51 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Mar 22, 2013 | 2 | 15:13 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 22, 2013 | 1 | 08:24 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Mar 21, 2013 | 2 | 11:24 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Mar 2, 2013 | 3 | 12:39 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |