Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Thornton on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 30 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Little 50.6% vs Thornton 54.3% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Thornton leads 37-30 in 67 meetings
Offensive zone
Thornton 56.8%
Defensive zone
Little 54.4%
Neutral zone
Thornton 53.5%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 53.0%
47.0%
53.0%
Little
Thornton
Head-to-Head Record
30
-
37
(67 meetings)
30
37
Little
Thornton
Last 10: Little 6-4 Thornton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
10
13
Little
Thornton
23 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Little
8
6
Little
Thornton
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thornton
12
18
Little
Thornton
30 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Little
Thornton
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (8,646)
53.5% (6,640)
-2.6%
Power Play
55.5% (1,593)
57.2% (1,387)
-1.7%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (1,406)
56.7% (427)
-13.2%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thornton shoots left. Little is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (7,844).
Little shoots right. Thornton is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (3,270).
Home / Away
Little
Thornton
Home
52.9% (5,664)
55.8% (4,271)
Away
48.6% (6,017)
52.8% (4,219)
By Period
Little
Thornton
P1
50.9%
55.0%
P2
49.6%
53.3%
P3
51.5%
54.4%
OT
49.1%
56.4%
Final 5 min
51.1%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.7%
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2019 | 3 | 02:06 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Feb 5, 2019 | 2 | 10:42 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 5, 2019 | 1 | 15:47 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 5, 2019 | 1 | 06:19 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Jan 7, 2018 | 2 | 11:19 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Nov 25, 2017 | 3 | 04:07 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Nov 25, 2017 | 3 | 00:55 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 25, 2017 | 2 | 04:18 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 25, 2017 | 2 | 04:04 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Nov 25, 2017 | 1 | 03:44 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Nov 25, 2017 | 1 | 03:31 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 6, 2017 | 3 | 19:19 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Mar 6, 2017 | 2 | 13:36 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 6, 2017 | 1 | 16:04 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Mar 6, 2017 | 1 | 07:10 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 24, 2017 | 3 | 15:27 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 16, 2017 | 2 | 06:21 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 12, 2016 | 3 | 15:24 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 12, 2016 | 3 | 14:12 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Jan 12, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |