Scouting Report
Bryan Little holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Thornton on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Little wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Thornton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Little 55.1% vs Thornton 50.8% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thornton 60.8%
Defensive zone
Thornton 54.2%
Neutral zone
Thornton 54.8%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 57.7%
42.3%
57.7%
Little
Thornton
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Little
Thornton
Last 6: Little 2-4 Thornton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
1
2
Little
Thornton
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
0
1
Little
Thornton
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Little
Thornton
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Little
Thornton
Edge
Even Strength
57.3% (847)
49.8% (544)
+7.5%
Power Play
57.5% (160)
54.5% (178)
+3.0%
Penalty Kill
36.7% (90)
46.7% (15)
-10.0%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thornton shoots left. Little is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (776).
Little shoots right. Thornton is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (323).
Home / Away
Little
Thornton
Home
56.7% (575)
54.9% (355)
Away
54.4% (522)
47.1% (382)
By Period
Little
Thornton
P1
55.4%
46.0%
P2
53.9%
52.5%
P3
57.6%
55.6%
OT
58.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
56.9%
46.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
55.6%
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2017 | 3 | 19:19 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Mar 6, 2017 | 2 | 13:36 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 6, 2017 | 1 | 16:04 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Mar 6, 2017 | 1 | 07:10 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 24, 2017 | 3 | 15:27 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 16, 2017 | 2 | 06:21 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |