Scouting Report
Bryan Little holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Little on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Little wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Thornton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Little 55.6% vs Thornton 51.7% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Little 58.4%
Defensive zone
Little 77.1%
Neutral zone
Little 60.0%
Result
Bryan Little favored at 61.5%
61.5%
38.5%
Little
Thornton
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Little
Thornton
Last 7: Little 4-3 Thornton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Little
3
1
Little
Thornton
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Little
1
0
Little
Thornton
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thornton
0
2
Little
Thornton
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Little
Thornton
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (1,026)
52.7% (372)
+3.2%
Power Play
60.1% (158)
47.6% (63)
+12.5%
Penalty Kill
51.6% (122)
60.0% (5)
-8.4%
On power play, Little has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thornton shoots left. Little is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (850).
Little shoots right. Thornton is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (188).
Home / Away
Little
Thornton
Home
58.6% (613)
51.2% (250)
Away
53.8% (693)
53.2% (190)
By Period
Little
Thornton
P1
54.4%
56.1%
P2
57.5%
52.8%
P3
56.6%
47.4%
OT
47.6%
57.1%
Final 5 min
55.4%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
56.0%
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2018 | 2 | 11:19 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Nov 25, 2017 | 3 | 04:07 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Nov 25, 2017 | 3 | 00:55 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 25, 2017 | 2 | 04:18 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 25, 2017 | 2 | 04:04 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Nov 25, 2017 | 1 | 03:44 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Nov 25, 2017 | 1 | 03:31 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |