Scouting Report
Bryan Little holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Little on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Little wins 55.7% vs right-shot opponents — Ward shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Little 55.6% vs Ward 47.4% (+9.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Little 87.5%
Defensive zone
Little 78.1%
Neutral zone
Little 77.5%
Result
Bryan Little favored at 83.7%
83.7%
16.3%
Little
Ward
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Little
Ward
Last 5: Little 4-1 Ward
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Little
3
0
Little
Ward
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Little
Ward
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Little
Ward
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (1,026)
49.2% (181)
+6.7%
Power Play
60.1% (158)
50.0% (4)
+10.1%
Penalty Kill
51.6% (122)
34.8% (46)
+16.8%
On penalty kill, Little has a +16.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ward shoots right. Little is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (456).
Little shoots right. Ward is 40.5% vs right-shot opponents (74).
Home / Away
Little
Ward
Home
58.6% (613)
40.7% (86)
Away
53.8% (693)
49.7% (145)
By Period
Little
Ward
P1
54.4%
55.7%
P2
57.5%
43.0%
P3
56.6%
42.9%
Final 5 min
55.4%
43.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
56.0%
Ward
44.0%▼
47.0%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2018 | 3 | 16:27 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Jan 23, 2018 | 2 | 06:47 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Jan 7, 2018 | 3 | 17:55 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Jan 7, 2018 | 2 | 18:37 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Jan 7, 2018 | 1 | 13:03 | Offensive | Bryan Little |