Scouting Report
Bryan Little holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Bailey on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Little 50.6% vs Bailey 45.5% (+5.4%)
H2H factor
Bailey leads 12-11 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Bailey 59.4%
Defensive zone
Bailey 58.3%
Neutral zone
Bailey 58.2%
Result
Josh Bailey favored at 58.8%
41.2%
58.8%
Little
Bailey
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
12
(23 meetings)
11
12
Little
Bailey
Last 10: Little 3-7 Bailey
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Little
6
4
Little
Bailey
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bailey
2
6
Little
Bailey
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Little
3
2
Little
Bailey
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Little
Bailey
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (8,646)
45.8% (1,991)
+5.1%
Power Play
55.5% (1,593)
48.1% (295)
+7.4%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (1,406)
39.9% (281)
+3.6%
On power play, Little has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bailey shoots left. Little is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (7,844).
Little shoots right. Bailey is 42.7% vs right-shot opponents (995).
Home / Away
Little
Bailey
Home
52.9% (5,664)
46.6% (1,353)
Away
48.6% (6,017)
44.0% (1,232)
By Period
Little
Bailey
P1
50.9%
46.5%
P2
49.6%
44.8%
P3
51.5%
44.4%
OT
49.1%
51.1%
Final 5 min
51.1%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.7%
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2014 | 3 | 05:42 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |
| Mar 4, 2014 | 2 | 16:18 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Mar 4, 2014 | 2 | 11:18 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |
| Mar 4, 2014 | 1 | 15:14 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |
| Apr 5, 2012 | 3 | 16:17 | Neutral | Josh Bailey |
| Apr 5, 2012 | 2 | 04:24 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Feb 14, 2012 | 3 | 11:26 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |
| Feb 14, 2012 | 2 | 18:03 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |
| Feb 14, 2012 | 2 | 04:06 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Feb 14, 2012 | 1 | 08:10 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Feb 14, 2012 | 1 | 07:51 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Nov 3, 2011 | 3 | 10:43 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Nov 3, 2011 | 3 | 03:56 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Nov 3, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Nov 3, 2011 | 1 | 07:11 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Nov 3, 2011 | 1 | 00:16 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Nov 3, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Josh Bailey |
| Mar 24, 2011 | 3 | 16:32 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Mar 24, 2011 | 2 | 08:11 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Mar 24, 2011 | 1 | 14:00 | Defensive | Bryan Little |