Scouting Report
Bryan Little holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Erat on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Little 50.6% vs Erat 46.8% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Erat 85.8%
Defensive zone
Erat 65.6%
Neutral zone
Erat 75.8%
Result
Martin Erat favored at 77.1%
22.9%
77.1%
Little
Erat
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Little
Erat
Last 7: Little 1-6 Erat
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Erat
0
4
Little
Erat
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Erat
1
2
Little
Erat
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Little
Erat
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (8,646)
46.7% (321)
+4.2%
Power Play
55.5% (1,593)
45.5% (101)
+10.0%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (1,406)
41.4% (29)
+2.1%
On power play, Little has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Erat shoots left. Little is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (7,844).
Little shoots right. Erat is 43.4% vs right-shot opponents (166).
Home / Away
Little
Erat
Home
52.9% (5,664)
53.2% (252)
Away
48.6% (6,017)
37.2% (199)
By Period
Little
Erat
P1
50.9%
43.4%
P2
49.6%
45.8%
P3
51.5%
50.0%
OT
49.1%
16.7%
Final 5 min
51.1%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.7%
Erat
38.0%▼
43.5%
46.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2013 | 1 | 07:16 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Mar 24, 2012 | 3 | 17:43 | Offensive | Martin Erat |
| Mar 24, 2012 | 3 | 11:39 | Defensive | Martin Erat |
| Mar 24, 2012 | 2 | 14:56 | Offensive | Martin Erat |
| Mar 24, 2012 | 1 | 12:29 | Defensive | Martin Erat |
| Mar 24, 2012 | 1 | 05:11 | Offensive | Martin Erat |
| Mar 24, 2012 | 1 | 00:11 | Offensive | Martin Erat |