Scouting Report
Bryan Little holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Erat on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Little 49.6% vs Erat 48.7% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Erat 74.1%
Defensive zone
Little 56.9%
Neutral zone
Erat 64.8%
Result
Martin Erat favored at 63.8%
36.2%
63.8%
Little
Erat
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
6
(6 meetings)
0
6
Little
Erat
Last 6: Little 0-6 Erat
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Erat
0
4
Little
Erat
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Erat
0
2
Little
Erat
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Little
Erat
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (1,089)
46.3% (80)
+3.5%
Power Play
51.4% (218)
51.2% (41)
+0.2%
Penalty Kill
45.6% (149)
40.0% (5)
+5.6%
On penalty kill, Little has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Erat shoots left. Little is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (985).
Little shoots right. Erat is 46.2% vs right-shot opponents (52).
Home / Away
Little
Erat
Home
52.9% (681)
60.9% (64)
Away
46.7% (798)
33.9% (62)
By Period
Little
Erat
P1
49.9%
41.9%
P2
49.2%
47.2%
P3
49.7%
54.3%
OT
48.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
48.5%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
49.6%
Erat
38.0%▼
43.5%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2012 | 3 | 17:43 | Offensive | Martin Erat |
| Mar 24, 2012 | 3 | 11:39 | Defensive | Martin Erat |
| Mar 24, 2012 | 2 | 14:56 | Offensive | Martin Erat |
| Mar 24, 2012 | 1 | 12:29 | Defensive | Martin Erat |
| Mar 24, 2012 | 1 | 05:11 | Offensive | Martin Erat |
| Mar 24, 2012 | 1 | 00:11 | Offensive | Martin Erat |