Scouting Report
Matt Hendricks holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Little on offensive-zone draws (55% H2H, 20 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Little 50.6% vs Hendricks 53.3% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Little leads 23-22 in 45 meetings
Offensive zone
Little 63.6%
Defensive zone
Hendricks 74.2%
Neutral zone
Hendricks 56.9%
Result
Matt Hendricks favored at 51.2%
48.8%
51.2%
Little
Hendricks
Head-to-Head Record
23
-
22
(45 meetings)
23
22
Little
Hendricks
Last 10: Little 5-5 Hendricks
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Little
11
9
Little
Hendricks
20 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hendricks
4
5
Little
Hendricks
9 total
Neutral Zone
Even
8
8
Little
Hendricks
16 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Little
Hendricks
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (8,646)
55.0% (1,616)
-4.1%
Power Play
55.5% (1,593)
52.6% (38)
+2.9%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (1,406)
48.4% (446)
-4.9%
On penalty kill, Hendricks has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hendricks shoots left. Little is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (7,844).
Little shoots right. Hendricks is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (870).
Home / Away
Little
Hendricks
Home
52.9% (5,664)
52.6% (1,023)
Away
48.6% (6,017)
54.3% (1,080)
By Period
Little
Hendricks
P1
50.9%
53.2%
P2
49.6%
53.3%
P3
51.5%
53.6%
OT
49.1%
75.0%
Final 5 min
51.1%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.7%
Hendricks
60.0%▲
50.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2016 | 3 | 19:57 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Feb 13, 2016 | 3 | 03:54 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Feb 13, 2016 | 2 | 12:42 | Offensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Apr 23, 2013 | 3 | 15:46 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Apr 23, 2013 | 1 | 05:07 | Neutral | Matt Hendricks |
| Mar 22, 2013 | 3 | 02:46 | Defensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Mar 21, 2013 | 3 | 17:05 | Offensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Mar 21, 2013 | 1 | 16:22 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Jan 22, 2013 | 3 | 06:01 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Mar 23, 2012 | 3 | 16:56 | Offensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Mar 23, 2012 | 3 | 00:12 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Mar 23, 2012 | 2 | 16:36 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Mar 23, 2012 | 2 | 16:19 | Neutral | Matt Hendricks |
| Mar 23, 2012 | 2 | 11:28 | Offensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Mar 23, 2012 | 2 | 08:23 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Mar 23, 2012 | 2 | 08:12 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Mar 23, 2012 | 2 | 06:01 | Defensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Mar 23, 2012 | 2 | 05:56 | Neutral | Matt Hendricks |
| Mar 23, 2012 | 2 | 03:14 | Neutral | Matt Hendricks |
| Mar 23, 2012 | 1 | 12:29 | Neutral | Bryan Little |