Scouting Report
Bryan Little holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Stajan on defensive-zone draws (72% H2H, 25 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Little 50.6% vs Stajan 49.4% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Stajan leads 31-23 in 54 meetings
Offensive zone
Little 64.6%
Defensive zone
Stajan 79.6%
Neutral zone
Stajan 63.1%
Result
Matt Stajan favored at 64.6%
35.4%
64.6%
Little
Stajan
Head-to-Head Record
23
-
31
(54 meetings)
23
31
Little
Stajan
Last 10: Little 4-6 Stajan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Little
10
2
Little
Stajan
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
7
18
Little
Stajan
25 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stajan
6
11
Little
Stajan
17 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Little
Stajan
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (8,646)
50.2% (4,944)
+0.7%
Power Play
55.5% (1,593)
43.2% (176)
+12.3%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (1,406)
46.1% (864)
-2.6%
On power play, Little has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stajan shoots left. Little is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (7,844).
Little shoots right. Stajan is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (2,026).
Home / Away
Little
Stajan
Home
52.9% (5,664)
51.3% (3,098)
Away
48.6% (6,017)
47.3% (2,892)
By Period
Little
Stajan
P1
50.9%
50.3%
P2
49.6%
48.5%
P3
51.5%
49.4%
OT
49.1%
53.3%
Final 5 min
51.1%
49.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.7%
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2017 | 2 | 18:55 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Jan 9, 2017 | 3 | 10:26 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Jan 9, 2017 | 2 | 13:10 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Jan 9, 2017 | 1 | 09:13 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Dec 10, 2016 | 3 | 17:57 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Dec 10, 2016 | 3 | 13:08 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Dec 10, 2016 | 3 | 10:07 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Dec 10, 2016 | 2 | 17:52 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Dec 10, 2016 | 2 | 01:39 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Dec 22, 2015 | 3 | 05:40 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Oct 16, 2015 | 3 | 08:35 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Oct 16, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Oct 16, 2015 | 2 | 17:21 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Oct 16, 2015 | 2 | 10:14 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Oct 16, 2015 | 2 | 09:55 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Oct 16, 2015 | 1 | 19:05 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Oct 16, 2015 | 1 | 08:33 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Feb 2, 2015 | 3 | 08:50 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Feb 2, 2015 | 3 | 08:43 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Feb 2, 2015 | 2 | 15:13 | Offensive | Bryan Little |