Scouting Report
Matt Stajan holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Little on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Little 49.2% vs Stajan 50.3% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Little 65.3%
Defensive zone
Stajan 80.4%
Neutral zone
Little 53.8%
Result
Matt Stajan favored at 54.3%
45.7%
54.3%
Little
Stajan
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Little
Stajan
Last 7: Little 5-2 Stajan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Little
1
0
Little
Stajan
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Little
Stajan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Little
3
1
Little
Stajan
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Little
Stajan
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (1,128)
51.1% (503)
-1.6%
Power Play
55.1% (216)
42.9% (7)
+12.2%
Penalty Kill
41.1% (207)
46.7% (92)
-5.6%
On power play, Little has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stajan shoots left. Little is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,032).
Little shoots right. Stajan is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (227).
Home / Away
Little
Stajan
Home
54.1% (756)
55.1% (336)
Away
44.4% (795)
44.4% (266)
By Period
Little
Stajan
P1
49.5%
51.3%
P2
50.2%
47.7%
P3
48.1%
52.4%
Final 5 min
50.5%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
49.1%
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2015 | 3 | 08:50 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Feb 2, 2015 | 3 | 08:43 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Feb 2, 2015 | 2 | 15:13 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Feb 2, 2015 | 2 | 02:50 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Feb 2, 2015 | 2 | 00:06 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Feb 2, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Oct 19, 2014 | 1 | 06:52 | Neutral | Bryan Little |